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Language

English (en)

Date of Award

5-1-2013

Author's School

College of Arts & Sciences

Author's Department

International and Area Studies

Degree Name

Bachelor of Arts (A.B.)

Restricted/Unrestricted

Restricted

Abstract

As of the past few years, the war on drugs has become an increasingly volatile security issue for Mexico. Drug-related deaths since ex-President Felipe Calder6én undertook a militarized anti-drug strategy now total over 50,000 in number. With a problem so extensive, one begins to wonder, how might this be affecting Mexican society as a whole? My specific objective here is to try to observe potential negative economic effects of drug violence by making use of a synthetic control state statistical method first seen in Abadie and Gardeazabal's 2003 article "The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Case Study of the Basque Country". The purpose of such a study is not to reduce the consequences of violence to economics, for no decrease in growth could outweigh the human costs of Mexico's situation. Rather, it is to see how violence can have ripple effects with consequences for the well being of society at large and also to frame the issue in a way that can resonate with policymakers. | ultimately find some evidence that drug-related violence may be negatively affecting growth in violent Mexican states, but the results are somewhat mixed. Thus, | examine whether violence might not be damaging Mexico's economy quite like we would expect in light of previous case studies on the economic costs of violence. In addition to my synthetic state study, | also undertake a comprehensive examination of the current situation that the Mexican government faces in order to see what is causing the increase in drug violence and what newly elected President Enrique Pefia Nieto can do to curtail the number of victims.

Mentor

Guillermo Rosas

Comments

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