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Language
English (en)
Date of Award
5-1-2017
Author's Department
International and Area Studies
Degree Name
Bachelor of Arts (A.B.)
Restricted/Unrestricted
Restricted
Abstract
In the wake of the 2016 Presidential Election, pollsters and the pubic alike are trying to piece together how Donald Trump won against all expectations. Two main hypotheses have emerged: 1. There has been a systematic shift in demographics and 2. Voter turnout in the election was drastically different than it has been historically. This paper assesses the validity of both claims through econometric modeling and presents empirical evidence that the election results are, contrary to popular belief, consistent with demographic trends and voter turnout since 1972.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.7936/kpqx-6n86
Mentor
Sukkoo Kim
Recommended Citation
Orsky, Alexandra, "Econometric Modeling of the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election: Why the Results are Far from Unusual" (2017). Senior Honors Papers / Undergraduate Theses. 189.
The definitive version is available at https://doi.org/10.7936/kpqx-6n86
Comments
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